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Let's say there are a 2 000 000 fans out there. Out of these around 16 000 will die in the coming year. Since there are only 6 days until release, the number goes down to around 260. Out of those 260, at least 3 will commit suicide, and about 9 will die of an accident.

These numbers are all based on the assumption that the fan base is from 0 to 120 years old. So, the actual numbers may be different, but the suicide ratings are higher if we take the actual age span (16-40), but deaths in all are lower. So I think the numbers will more likely be:
~180 dead
~5 suicide
~8 accident

Based on an actuarial table I found on Google a bit ago, if you are between 25 and 35, you have roughly a 1 in 1000 chance of dieing in a given year. So, for 2 million people, that'd be about 2000 deaths in 1 year. Since it's 6 days, that's about 33 deaths assuming the mortality rate isn't significantly different this time of year than the average.

Of course, if we just want to talk about people viewing this topic and 2000 people view it, odds are that 2 of them will die sometime in the next year. Since we're only talking about 6 days, 0.033 people viewing this thread would be expected to die between now and D3's release, so I guess I feel relatively safe.

Isn't math fun?

Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack

...and if you disagree with me, you're probably <insert random ad hominem attack here>.

Let's say there are a 2 000 000 fans out there. Out of these around 16 000 will die in the coming year. Since there are only 6 days until release, the number goes down to around 260. Out of those 260, at least 3 will commit suicide, and about 9 will die of an accident.

These numbers are all based on the assumption that the fan base is from 0 to 120 years old. So, the actual numbers may be different, but the suicide ratings are higher if we take the actual age span (16-40), but deaths in all are lower. So I think the numbers will more likely be:
~180 dead
~5 suicide
~8 accident

Based on an actuarial table I found on Google a bit ago, if you are between 25 and 35, you have roughly a 1 in 1000 chance of dieing in a given year. So, for 2 million people, that'd be about 2000 deaths in 1 year. Since it's 6 days, that's about 33 deaths assuming the mortality rate isn't significantly different this time of year than the average.

Of course, if we just want to talk about people viewing this topic and 2000 people view it, odds are that 2 of them will die sometime in the next year. Since we're only talking about 6 days, 0.033 people viewing this thread would be expected to die between now and D3's release, so I guess I feel relatively safe.

Isn't math fun?

Always!

Some useful statistics there

Did you know that every 30 s someone, somewhere commits suicide?
.
.
.
.
.
.
There goes another guy!

Based on an actuarial table I found on Google a bit ago, if you are between 25 and 35, you have roughly a 1 in 1000 chance of dieing in a given year. So, for 2 million people, that'd be about 2000 deaths in 1 year. Since it's 6 days, that's about 33 deaths assuming the mortality rate isn't significantly different this time of year than the average.

Of course, if we just want to talk about people viewing this topic and 2000 people view it, odds are that 2 of them will die sometime in the next year. Since we're only talking about 6 days, 0.033 people viewing this thread would be expected to die between now and D3's release, so I guess I feel relatively safe.

Isn't math fun?

Always!

Some useful statistics there

Did you know that every 30 s someone, somewhere commits suicide?

.

.

.

.

.

.

There goes another guy!

(Carlin FTW!!)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVEDnyDMHHQ