Quote from Silentmike
Quote from mikehardez
There was a 1/250 chance of getting no key drops like you did on your successive runs. In other words, if 250 people did what you did, one guy can be expected to get zero keys. That guy was you.
Your insistence that this is somehow impossible is especially puzzling, considering you seem to understand how a binomial distribution works.
I agree that your situation sucks, and it's a good argument for the implementation of a pseudo-RNG system that mitigates streaking. For example, some games feature mechanics that slowly scale your chances upwards until a success is rolled, at which point the probability resets.
Just remember that in the D3 system, for every drought, there is a flood.
And finally a rationale rebuke...
Yes, I realize that two successive strings of bad luck on a key run are unlikely yet possible. But what about a single person getting 3 set items of the class they are playing in a very short amount of time. What about identical items dropping in close proximity? Where there is smoke there is fire, the Bliz system certainly contains an element of randomness, but there are too many oddities to just explain away as purely RNG.
Now this is where you lose a lot of the posters here, including myself.
Why can't a person get 3 set items in a short period of time? Is it impossible? Does the system "shut off" the possibility of getting legendaries? No, therefore you're wrong.
Identical items can drop in close proximity and it has been brought to blizzard's attention.
"there are too many oddities to just explain away as purely RNG" - you do not know every player and can't speak for "too many oddities". This is a case of the loud minority speaking about weird things happening and making it seem like there might be a problem when there isn't. Not every player is getting odd drops (most aren't), and sometimes we do (i got 4 legendaries in one run a few weeks back before 1.05). You should look at that loot thread posted a month or two ago that follows inferno drops related to magic find, NV stacks, etc. That is a VERY THOROUGH thread and has THOUSANDS of data points to your miniscule number of experiences. It has real data with real information, not speculation like this