11/3/2012 12:52:45 PM
This game is technically PVP so you won't get any money. I believe one of the other MMO's (SWTOR maybe) had to deal with one of you idiots claiming PVP did not come as promised. PVP can technically be defined as any competition between players, in that case it was deemed that progression and obtaining better gear was in the realm of PVP (despite the fact you never killed another in game player). You are competing against others to be the most geared and progressed player (player progression versus player progression). You will get no money based on the definition of PVP, not the TOS.Posted in: Diablo III General Discussion
11/3/2012 11:36:08 AM
Can a mod lock the thread? There isn't a point to this thread at all, this website is called diablofans. This guy is obviously not a fan of diablo and will no longer be playing the game. He has no good insight to contribute to the community who does enjoy the game.Posted in: Diablo III General Discussion
10/31/2012 6:06:49 PM
Posted in: Diablo III General DiscussionQuote from SilentmikeQuote from mikehardez@ OP:
There was a 1/250 chance of getting no key drops like you did on your successive runs. In other words, if 250 people did what you did, one guy can be expected to get zero keys. That guy was you.
Your insistence that this is somehow impossible is especially puzzling, considering you seem to understand how a binomial distribution works.
I agree that your situation sucks, and it's a good argument for the implementation of a pseudo-RNG system that mitigates streaking. For example, some games feature mechanics that slowly scale your chances upwards until a success is rolled, at which point the probability resets.
Just remember that in the D3 system, for every drought, there is a flood.
And finally a rationale rebuke...
Yes, I realize that two successive strings of bad luck on a key run are unlikely yet possible. But what about a single person getting 3 set items of the class they are playing in a very short amount of time. What about identical items dropping in close proximity? Where there is smoke there is fire, the Bliz system certainly contains an element of randomness, but there are too many oddities to just explain away as purely RNG.
Now this is where you lose a lot of the posters here, including myself.
Why can't a person get 3 set items in a short period of time? Is it impossible? Does the system "shut off" the possibility of getting legendaries? No, therefore you're wrong.
Identical items can drop in close proximity and it has been brought to blizzard's attention.
"there are too many oddities to just explain away as purely RNG" - you do not know every player and can't speak for "too many oddities". This is a case of the loud minority speaking about weird things happening and making it seem like there might be a problem when there isn't. Not every player is getting odd drops (most aren't), and sometimes we do (i got 4 legendaries in one run a few weeks back before 1.05). You should look at that loot thread posted a month or two ago that follows inferno drops related to magic find, NV stacks, etc. That is a VERY THOROUGH thread and has THOUSANDS of data points to your miniscule number of experiences. It has real data with real information, not speculation like this
10/31/2012 1:03:03 PM
Silent mike (who probably left because no one would hear his side, i think sen5ei is actually you anyways), I will tell you a story.Posted in: Diablo III General Discussion
I went to vegas over christmas with my family. Christmas is a good time to go because you are statistically more likely to win at games of chance (roulette, slots, etc), papers have been published on this phenomena, you would think this supports you but it doesnt. I played roulette on christmas day with $1000. I watched a few rounds and decided that betting red or black consistently would keep me at the table longer for drinks.
This is where the support for you goes significantly downhill. I began betting red and figured it would hit about 50% of the time (a little less due to green spaces). I kept doubling my bet from 5 to 10 to 20 and so on until red hit, red did not hit while I was betting and black was landed on 16 times in a row. If you calculate how many scenarios there could have been, there were 65536 scenarios (i am not accounting for green spaces) and the one that occurred seemed the most statistically unlikely, but it is just as likely as any other scenario (mixture of red and black).
I saw people around me winning and of course that was frustrating, but the fact of the matter was that even if the house odds were better (due to seasonal phenomena) they are still odds and those things can happen. The scenario is different every time. So even if there is some blizzard conspiracy that stacked the odds in our favor at the beginning of 1.05 (I doubt it), there are still scenarios that will happen where things may not drop in your favor.
This is a good example because it demonstrates that the odds can be tipped in your favor (like MP6 meaning 60% chance of a key, or blizz increasing the leg drop rate (which i still think is stupid and not real)) and you can still lose.
EDIT: When I say 65536 scenarios I mean 2^16 (2 colors and 16 different occasions), I know there are some fancy stats people that roam the forums so I wanted to clarify myself
10/19/2012 11:32:45 AM
Posted in: Monk: The Inner SanctuaryQuote from KdLoLhm.. guess i ll wait, unless i can get a steal price
what do u think of pickup raidus? is it as needed as 1.04? because in 1.04, it was under the assumption that elites die real fast and u can run with low loh because u get globes constantly, but it might not be the case in for instance, mp5
I really wouldn't wait, I would make your purchases ASAP before people realize it takes less work to get gold and its value depreciates (prices go up). My gold per hour has gone up from 300k to around 500k (running low MP as quickly as possible)
I plan on making my purchases (new 1h, my echoing fury with the fear affix has gotten far too annoying and I cant handle chasing mobs through AOE anymore) as soon as I get home today.
10/19/2012 11:25:38 AM
I thought the same thing you did that prices would inherently go down due to more drop rates, and better drops (all over il58 now). You would assume that a ton of better gear, people will undercut and prices will drop for good stuff.Posted in: Monk: The Inner Sanctuary
However, I don't think this is going to happen. I actually think the opposite will occur (prices will go up):
1. Monster power giving gold find.
2. all drops are over il58 now so vendoring blues and yellows gives more gold than before
3. there may be a new plateau with rings and ammys with il63 stats, but that wouldn't drop il62 ones
Everyone will have more gold from normal play, so the market might stabilize at a higher baseline level than it already is. Prices will not go down because the amount of gold everyone is getting will increase. Something worth 5m gold before might be prices at 7-10 now just because you need more gold for it to reflect its "true value".
True value to me is how long it would take to obtain that much gold, it would take less work to get 5m gold now than it did in 1.04, now the same amount of time might yield 7-10m gold. It is like inflation, everyone is "printing" more gold, so prices have to go up to match the value of the items.
10/17/2012 8:31:26 AM
Not at all, they stated it clearly. MP2-3 is what 1.04 inferno was, so you can't expect anything above that to be easy. So if you're doing MP's above that and it seems difficult, it should feel that way and you aren't being lied to. The difficulty wasn't increased by blizzard, you are increasing the difficulty and doing it to yourself, so it really isn't their fault.Posted in: Diablo III General Discussion
RA and survival is important at those higher MP levels, absolutely. I need warcry impunity still, especially for plague/molten dual AOE on the ground for my barb.
I am doing MP5-6 and loving the challenge, I can actually die and I need to be careful.
10/15/2012 5:20:51 AM
Posted in: Barbarian: Bastion's Keep
spamming so i get 10 posts, so i can post my profile
10/15/2012 5:20:42 AM
Posted in: Barbarian: Bastion's Keep
spamming so i get 10 posts, so i can post my profile
10/15/2012 5:19:36 AM
@Grom yea, I think IK might come down from its astronomical hundreds of millions of gold prices. That is what I am hoping for at least. But getting good rolls will still be very pricey. I myself am making the transition away from having allres on rings, since rings can roll the trifecta stats (and I am going to be replacing one with helfire anyways). Maybe res on your chest and switching firewalkers for iceclimbers?Posted in: Barbarian: Bastion's Keep
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