i just dont hop that because i made an account for this event that thay think it is fake... i think a lot of people may have made an account just for the chance of a beta key
Jack
lol i was just thinking the same thing =D i made my account like 4 hours before the contest opened!
To your terribly optimistic math...this:
you want to know chance of winning at least one key, negation is not winning even one.
therefore 1-(1/4100) is chance of not winning.
they will do 50 randoml choses (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is chance fo you not winning key even once, therefore 1 - (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is your chance to win at least one key and it IIIIISSSS 0.0131 percent
after waiting for the next installment of diablo for, what is it 11 years now, i cant believe two things.
one, we are this close to diablo 3. man thats a good feeling. to get something you have been waiting so long for.
and two, that im sitting here waiting some more. you think i would learn my lesson in all that time.
i just dont hop that because i made an account for this event that thay think it is fake... i think a lot of people may have made an account just for the chance of a beta key
Jack
yeah man they did i made acc for contest too i was folowing the site for news for a long time now but didnt bother with making one till now.
And what they will proly do is match from what IPs they made em so they can remove those from the pool they maybe got few other ways in their desposal i dont know of
I already said this in other threads, but ill do it here. Fake account IS NOT an account that only has one post, a LOT of people come here just for contest, others, had accounts back in 2006, but you lose all posts back then when we transfered to new site. so no, just cuase a person has 1 post, does not mean they are fake.
To your terribly optimistic math...this:
you want to know chance of winning at least one key, negation is not winning even one.
therefore 1-(1/4100) is chance of not winning.
they will do 50 randoml choses (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is chance fo you not winning key even once, therefore 1 - (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is your chance to win at least one key and it IIIIISSSS 0.0131 percent
Your math, it depresses me. Not like 1.3 is any better. It took me over 86 runs to get my lightforge legs.
I already said this in other threads, but ill do it here. Fake account IS NOT an account that only has one post, a LOT of people come here just for contest, others, had accounts back in 2006, but you lose all posts back then when we transfered to new site. so no, just cuase a person has 1 post, does not mean they are fake.
I cant believe that was 6 years ago. i remember logging and and seeing the news about the request for the domain.
and thanks for the clarification. im sure that made a lot of people feel a little better.
i have faith in that contest, it took me so many hours theorycrafting on calculator.. man that was hard, so i made a post trying to show every positive aspect of my build and why i choose those skills/passives/gear/followrs...
Anyway i hope those ppl who will win, really deserve it.
And i have idea, would be cool if molster post the winners and theyr builds.
To your terribly optimistic math...this:
you want to know chance of winning at least one key, negation is not winning even one.
therefore 1-(1/4100) is chance of not winning.
they will do 50 randoml choses (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is chance fo you not winning key even once, therefore 1 - (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is your chance to win at least one key and it IIIIISSSS 0.0131 percent
i hv absolutely no idea what u r talking about mate
Oh that does worry me, I edited my account because my post was trying to get in line early. I know that wasn't the real issue, but hey want to get to the front of line and all. I hope that my editing my account didn't rule out my chances.
Meh im the only one going through them atm, Dae is gonng jump in, in a bit =P I have to take a break and do a quick post or ill go crazy...
Take your time. Would rather this be done with cool heads and plenty of checking for everyone's sake. And of course, thanks for running the contest and taking the time to do the count and deciding who gets what.
i have faith in that contest, it took me so many hours theorycrafting on calculator.. man that was hard, so i made a post trying to show every positive aspect of my build and why i choose those skills/passives/gear/followrs...
Anyway i hope those ppl who will win, really deserve it.
And i have idea, would be cool if molster post the winners and theyr builds.
Just because you spent more time on it, doesn't mean you deserve it any more. They specifically said they were picking random entries that met the contest criteria; just because you decided to spend hours on it doesn't factor into it at all. People who followed the instructions to the letter (and no more) deserve to win just as much as anyone else.
I already said this in other threads, but ill do it here. Fake account IS NOT an account that only has one post, a LOT of people come here just for contest, others, had accounts back in 2006, but you lose all posts back then when we transfered to new site. so no, just cuase a person has 1 post, does not mean they are fake.
so how do u know that it is a fake account? i m just curious
Match fields like password, registration email, IP adresses. Sorting out the opportunist cheater is easy. However there will always be some that go to extreme methods to cheat and they will be difficult to stop
To your terribly optimistic math...this:
you want to know chance of winning at least one key, negation is not winning even one.
therefore 1-(1/4100) is chance of not winning.
they will do 50 randoml choses (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is chance fo you not winning key even once, therefore 1 - (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is your chance to win at least one key and it IIIIISSSS 0.0131 percent
i hv absolutely no idea what u r talking about mate
its combinatory.
i will try to explain. What you want to know is chance of winning key, to be chosen at least once from 50 times they will choose random build.
What you have to do it to create negation of wanted situation, therefore what is chance of not winning even one key. Now you will distract chance of not winning single key from 100 percent or 1(all possible situations) and what you get is chance of winning at least one key.
To your terribly optimistic math...this:
you want to know chance of winning at least one key, negation is not winning even one.
therefore 1-(1/4100) is chance of not winning.
they will do 50 randoml choses (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is chance fo you not winning key even once, therefore 1 - (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is your chance to win at least one key and it IIIIISSSS 0.0131 percent
i hv absolutely no idea what u r talking about mate
your chance of winning is 0.02% rounding up.
i made the same silly mistake earlier today in the contest discussion thread.
your chances of winning are 1.3% not .013%
(because 1.00 is 100%, you move the decimal 2 places)
you want to know chance of winning at least one key, negation is not winning even one.
therefore 1-(1/4100) is chance of not winning.
they will do 50 randoml choses (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is chance fo you not winning key even once, therefore 1 - (1-(1/4100))ˇ50 is your chance to win at least one key and it IIIIISSSS 0.0131 percent
one, we are this close to diablo 3. man thats a good feeling. to get something you have been waiting so long for.
and two, that im sitting here waiting some more. you think i would learn my lesson in all that time.
And what they will proly do is match from what IPs they made em so they can remove those from the pool they maybe got few other ways in their desposal i dont know of
Your math, it depresses me. Not like 1.3 is any better. It took me over 86 runs to get my lightforge legs.
and thanks for the clarification. im sure that made a lot of people feel a little better.
Anyway i hope those ppl who will win, really deserve it.
And i have idea, would be cool if molster post the winners and theyr builds.
your chance of winning is 0.02% rounding up.
Take your time. Would rather this be done with cool heads and plenty of checking for everyone's sake. And of course, thanks for running the contest and taking the time to do the count and deciding who gets what.
Match fields like password, registration email, IP adresses. Sorting out the opportunist cheater is easy. However there will always be some that go to extreme methods to cheat and they will be difficult to stop
its combinatory.
i will try to explain. What you want to know is chance of winning key, to be chosen at least once from 50 times they will choose random build.
What you have to do it to create negation of wanted situation, therefore what is chance of not winning even one key. Now you will distract chance of not winning single key from 100 percent or 1(all possible situations) and what you get is chance of winning at least one key.
your chances of winning are 1.3% not .013%
(because 1.00 is 100%, you move the decimal 2 places)
Peace.
I realy hope they do it, will be amazing ^^