Noone can even kind of give you a guess. We have never had such a short beta before, even bash said he had NOOOO idea. He thinks really fast waves, but he said he just has no way to know. Its all based on when people stop playing.
Bashiok's response on beta access was something like this: if everyone that's currently enlisted keeps testing actively until the end of the beta period, there would, in theory, not be another wave. This is a small and a short beta, after all. That said, he also noted that it's a statistical inevitability that some people will eventually grow bored or have other preoccupations, so, in that case, they would consider gathering more testers to make up for the inactive ones.
Bashiok's response on beta access was something like this: if everyone that's currently enlisted keeps testing actively until the end of the beta period, there would, in theory, not be another wave. This is a small and a short beta, after all. That said, he also noted that it's a statistical inevitability that some people will eventually grow bored or have other preoccupations, so, in that case, they would consider gathering more testers to make up for the inactive ones.
crud, i was hoping the amount of testers they allow would grow when problems being pointed out arent as numerous :/
Bashiok's response on beta access was something like this: if everyone that's currently enlisted keeps testing actively until the end of the beta period, there would, in theory, not be another wave. This is a small and a short beta, after all. That said, he also noted that it's a statistical inevitability that some people will eventually grow bored or have other preoccupations, so, in that case, they would consider gathering more testers to make up for the inactive ones.
crud, i was hoping the amount of testers they allow would grow when problems being pointed out arent as numerous :/
I think that it will be two weeks after the first wave, because there are less months between October and December, than February to July.
They should release the public closed beta today, then send a 2nd wave of invitations at 28th, 29th or 30th of September.
As Bashiok said at one point, their goal is to saturate the server for as long as it takes to fix any server issues.
So wave 1 is probably going to be pretty large. They may not even do another wave, they may even just do small invites a few at a time as concurrency goes down a bit.
Chances are right near the end they'll do a huge stress test to try to overload the server and see how well it fares, but ya... aside from that if you don't get in wave 1 who knows.
They should release the public closed beta today, then send a 2nd wave of invitations at 28th, 29th or 30th of September.
So wave 1 is probably going to be pretty large. They may not even do another wave, they may even just do small invites a few at a time as concurrency goes down a bit.
Chances are right near the end they'll do a huge stress test to try to overload the server and see how well it fares, but ya... aside from that if you don't get in wave 1 who knows.